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US Stock Indices - Short-Term Outlook

In these updates our focus is to identify the trend on the daily chart - the so-called Short-Term (ST) trend (this trend usually lasts several weeks to several months) and to formulate a hypothetical trading strategy that usually seeks for 60-120 point moves in the indexes risking 30-50 points. This analysis is updated once per week: before the open each Monday (usually during the weekends). If necessary, additional updates may be posted during the trading week.



Nasdaq 100
S&P500

Main analysis


Update for: 2012-02-06 - 2012-02-12

Posted on: Sunday, 05 February 2012 16:33

nasdaq st 20120205



Nasdaq 100: 2528.71

Short-Term Trend: uptrend

Outlook:

Nasdaq 100 advanced further last week and is now very close to our 1st upside target for this uptrend at 2540/50. From a trading point of view actually, it makes sense to take profits now. From an analytical perspective, the market remains in strong uptrend as long as abv 2460 and therefore, further gains can be favored. Abv 2540/50, the next upside target is seen at 2682, but honestly I don't belive we can go thus far without first undergoing a more serious pullback.



Strategy: We turned long at 2360 several weeks ago. Now it seems reasonable to take profits here.

Next Update: Sun, 02/12/2012





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